CSC says that the auto market will decline by 35% or record in February

The auto market in Beijing has not sold out the buzz of the national auto market. The automobile production and sales statistics of the China Automobile Industry Association in January this year will not be formally announced until next Friday. However, according to the statistics of the Federation of Travel Unions, sales in January this year once again showed a good start, even more than last year. However, except for the micro-customer market, the narrow passenger car market has fallen by 9% month-on-month, and this decline will peak this month.

Ring fell by over 10%

According to statistics from the Federation of Travel Unions, the sales volume of narrow passenger vehicles in January has fallen from December last year, and the rate of decline has reached 9%. Cars fell the most, reaching 10.3%. The only thing that did not decline was the micro-customer market, with an increase of 20.8%.

However, compared with last year, there was a substantial increase in both passenger cars and SUVs, MPVs, and micro-substances. Of which SUVs are still hot, an increase of up to 66.6%, MPV is also gratifying, an increase of nearly 30%.

With regard to car sales, the top three are still monopolized by Shanghai GM and North and South China Volkswagen. In particular, shanghai GM has more than 30,000 units of Shanghai Volkswagen with a total of 119,900 units. While Beijing Hyundai and Dongfeng Nissan ranked fourth and fifth, the gap between the two was only over 5,000 vehicles. In the last five car companies, monthly sales exceeded 40,000 units, and the gap was not significant. BYD won sixth place with over 3,300 Chery cars. Changan Ford Mazda also ranked among the top ten with a total of 47,700.

According to Rao Da, Chairman of the National Association of Riding Federations, the retail sales volume of narrow passenger vehicles in January showed a large negative growth, and the wholesale sales volume was much higher than retail sales, showing the characteristics of the increase in inventory of the decline in the automobile market. The longer it lasts and the greater the increase in inventory, the greater the decline in the market in the future.

Most car companies achieved double-digit growth year-on-year. Just after the Lunar New Year in the Chinese Lunar New Year period, major auto companies have made good news. General Motors, Toyota, Volkswagen, Ford, Honda, Nissan and other multinational automobile companies all increased their sales in China by more than 10% in January. General Motors increased 22.3% year-on-year, Toyota increased 10.4%, Volkswagen increased 19.6%, Ford increased 20%, Honda increased 12.7%. Chery, Geely, JAC and other self-owned brand auto companies also achieved double-digit growth.

Among the luxury brands, BMW once again set a new monthly sales record in the domestic market, selling a total of 20,308 BMWs and MINIs, an increase of 70.4% year-on-year. Mercedes-Benz sold a total of 15,330 Mercedes-Benz, AMG, smart and Maybach vehicles in mainland China, an increase of 89% year-on-year. FAW-VW Audi sold 2,1995 vehicles in China, an increase of 21.64% month-on-month and an increase of 32.6% year-on-year. Sales volume for one month hit a record high for the same period in the calendar year and continued to rank first in the premium car market in China.

In the mid- to high-end models, the Accor, Teana, and Camry are still well-deserved kings. Among them, the Champion Accord sold more than 20,000 cars, Tianbao ranked second with 17,645 cars, and Camry won third place. The largest dark horse in the mid-to-high class car comes from the song map of Guangqi Honda. In January, the sales volume reached 8,858, which exceeded the expectations of many people.

In the A-class car, sales of Excelle, Cruze, New Bora, Laguna, and Yuet moved more than 20,000 vehicles, and Fox also gained a good momentum, followed by 19,734 vehicles. Among the independent brands, the monthly sales of the Tengyi C30, Heyue, Pentium B50, Chery A5, Junjie FRV/FSV and so on have all surpassed 10,000, and the Emgrand EC7, Roewe 350 and so on are also close to 10,000.

Among the fastest-growing SUV camps, the CR-V is still the brilliancy leader and 16113 has no record of success. Followed by a total of 12,932 Tiguans, and the Lions Runzhi Group also reached 10,338, more than 300 more than the Beijing Hyundai ix35, in addition to its own brand of Great Wall Haval Series 15,739 vehicles, a total of five models monthly sales Over 10,000 cars. The RAV4 and Highlander were 8,935 vehicles and 7,420 vehicles respectively, surpassed by the SUV's rookie Tiguan and ix35.

Monthly automobile market will decline 35%

According to Rao Da’s analysis, this year’s national spring holiday schedule has increased the number of working days in January, and reduced one working day in February (only 16 days). This is the lowest number of working days for many years. There are also hosts. The factory will have more holidays and the output will not be very high this month. Due to the international economic recovery, the depreciation of the US dollar, the reduction of oil stocks in the winter, OPEC's non-increasing oil production quotas, and the escalation of the "Jasmine Revolution" in Tunisia to Jordan and Egypt, this is the subject of oil speculation, resulting in a sharp increase in oil prices and domestic oil prices. It will also be raised, which will curb the car market.

At the beginning of the Spring Festival this year, at the beginning of the Spring Festival, everyone will spend the most and be tired. The 2-3 weeks after the Golden Week is the low point of the auto market, so the terminal retail volume will not be very optimistic. It is estimated that the wholesale and retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles in February will both fall by about 35% month-on-month, while the minibuses will experience negative growth. The large decline in the chain ratio will not be seen in the Chinese auto market, and the auto market will continue to increase inventory.

Narrow Passenger Vehicle Manufacturer Sales Rank (January domestic and foreign sales wholesale number)

High-grade car sales ranking Accord 20847

天籁17645

Camry 14563

Lingyu 13111

New Lacrosse 11159

Song of Poetry Figure 8858

New Regal 7470

Hao Rui 7405

MAGOTAN 6970

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