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Nothing is more severe than it is now.
Some experts predict that besides the expectation of new energy buses due to policy subsidy factors in 2014, school buses, highway passenger cars, and tourist coaches will be unsatisfactory. In particular, the combined growth rate of large- and medium-size highway passenger cars in the next three years is expected to be -8. %.
What is the way out for the bus market? The “savior†may be a new energy bus.
Composite growth rate of 80% in the next three years
After the introduction of the New Energy Subsidy New Deal in September 2013, with the announcement of the announcement of two batches of 40 new energy vehicle cities or regions, it is conservatively estimated that the number of new energy buses will exceed 30,000 in 2014. According to the statistics of the latest on-licensing data, in the first quarter of 2014, sales of new energy buses were 2091, an increase of 10.69% year-on-year. In the context of the mid-term assessment of pilot cities or regions in June, new energy buses are expected to usher in accelerated procurement.
At the inaugural meeting of the China Electric Vehicle Centennial held on May 5th, 2014, Liu Xiaoming, member of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Transport and the Director of the Department of Transport, stated that in the future, the Ministry of Transport will actively cooperate with relevant ministries to research and improve supporting policies for new energy vehicles. Promotion and application provide technical support and policy guarantee. At the same time, we will carry out pilot projects for the promotion and application of new energy vehicles, use the “transit city†campaign as a platform, choose to create cities in batches to carry out pilot projects for the promotion and application of new energy vehicles, and gradually increase new energy vehicles in urban public transport, taxis, and The proportion of applications in short-distance passenger transport.
Industry insiders predict that the compound growth rate of new energy buses will reach 80% in the next three years, and the number of new energy buses will increase to 83,000 by 2015.
Accelerate the upgrading of market concentration <br> <br> more consistent with the entire bus industry development, in the field of new energy buses, the strong get major market share of the "Matthew Effect" has become increasingly prominent. According to analysis by Xingye Securities, Yutong, the leader in large- and medium-sized passenger cars, sold 1,900 new energy buses in the first quarter of 2014, mainly plug-in hybrid buses. Since the introduction of the new energy vehicle subsidy New Deal, Yutong has sold 2,900 new energy buses. The market share has increased from 30% in 2013 to 58%.
Under the background that pure electric drive has become a development trend of the passenger car industry, even though some third- and fourth-tier bus companies all have “electricityâ€, the actual market concentration is still high. In addition to Yutong, Suzhou Jinlong, Xiamen Jinlong, Zhongtong, Futian Ouhui and other bus companies have also frequently made efforts to Nuggets new energy bus market. It is understood that in the second half of 2013, Suzhou Jinlong Haeger Bus was the first to introduce a plug-in hybrid hybrid bus using the ISG coaxial direct-drive hybrid system, which has now been operated in bulk in Changzhou and Nantong. “Dajinlong has been developing the first hybrid bus since 2001, and the production and sales of energy-saving and new energy buses have reached more than 2,500 vehicles.†Dai Jinlong technology R&D personnel told reporters. As one of the earliest enterprises to realize the market-oriented operation of new energy buses, Futian Ouhui New Energy Bus has now been operated in batches in Beijing, Jinan, Kunming, Hangzhou, and Taipei.
Charging is expected to solve the problem <br> <br> not to do business in 2014, passenger car industry is particularly lively. The bustling protagonist is none other than new energy buses. It can be said that it is precisely because of the optimistic resonance of policies and the market that bus companies must seize this “rescue†in order to achieve a good 2014 performance.
Recently, Yutong first released the E7 pure electric passenger car ZK6701BEVQ1. According to Liu Junrui, product manager of the light vehicle product line of the Yutong Bus Product Planning Department, the E7 achieved three major breakthroughs: the number of parts and components was reduced by 57%, the operating cost per kilometer was only 0.3 yuan, and the charging threshold was reduced to the civil level. This has resolved the promotion of pure electric vehicles. There are problems with operating costs, charging constraints, and reliability of use. Among them, the most important point is that E7 has realized an accessible charging solution for the first time in the industry, which has truly broken down the restrictions on the development of pure electric passenger cars. According to reports, E7 can choose 380 volts power and 220 volts of civilian electricity to charge, under 380 volts, fast charge for 1 hour to fill; under 220 volts, 8-10 hours can fill.
Daikin Long then released the XMQ6111AGBEV, a pure electric bus with a short rear suspension, and the XMQ6661AGBEV, a fast charging microcycle bus. It is worth mentioning that the short rear suspension design reduces the weight of the vehicle and improves the riding space. The former can achieve a passenger load exceeding the average 12-meter pure electric vehicle with a length of 11 meters. The latter has a longer wheelbase and a maximum capacity. 40 people. In addition, XMQ6661AGBEV adopts fast charging mode. The single-charged continuous driving range can reach 100 kilometers, and is full for 15 minutes. The actual single-use or single-use charge only needs to be charged once and charge for 5-7 minutes.
In addition, Changlong Sanmen pure electric passenger vehicles took the lead through the European Union's strict vehicle certification, which is of positive significance for China's new energy buses to open up overseas markets. It is understood that Changlong Bus has now obtained more than 300 intentional orders from more than 20 countries and regions. It can be foreseen that with the maturation of domestic new energy bus technologies and business models, the export prospects in the future will be considerable.
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