U.S. and Brazil Phosphate Fertilizer Market Will Be Actively First

China Drying Network News The current phosphate market is severely divided, not only in the differentiation of demand in the western and western hemispheres, but also in the difference in the demand for ammonium and diammonium. Everyone thinks that the ammonium market outlook is more optimistic. The demand of the United States and Brazil will digest the stocks of Morocco and Russia. The current agricultural product prices in Brazil will support the country’s third-quarter imports of ammonium from reaching 250,000 to 300,000 tons per month. Thus supporting the price stability. However, if India reduces rainfall and postpones the monsoon, how much purchase volume in the future is still unknown, the impact on the international market is still uncertain, but its strong demand in July-August is to make up for the import shortfall in June. The exchange rate of the Indian currency against the US dollar is now more conducive to imports, but it is not enough to support the increase in prices in the east of the Suez Canal.

The transaction volume in other places is also very small. The quantity of diammonium that China sells to Vietnam and the Philippines is very small, while Uruguay and Central America have some imports. Although last week's transaction was confirmed, only Jin Jian sold a batch of Russian-made monoammonium to the Latin American market at a higher price, and several shipments of monoammonium were planned to be shipped to South Africa. It was reported that a phosphate fertilizer production line in South Africa had problems.

In July, most manufacturers did not have sales pressure, and only European Chemicals and OCP had considerable output for sale. Traders also have monoammonium produced in Mexico and Russia for sale. Higher food prices can support larger phosphate demand.

In the third quarter, the international phosphate fertilizer market is expected to remain stable or strong. The US and Brazil markets will be the first to be active. Although US import demand may not appear until the third quarter, exporters still have plenty of opportunities to raise prices. India's current import contract volume is not large, so import demand is expected to surge in the third quarter later. However, the balance of supply and demand in the market as a whole makes it unlikely that prices will rise.

Vendors available for sale Limited production Morocco OCP is negotiating a mono-ammonium deal with South African buyers and no other orders have been reached. Another 150,000 to 200,000 tons of July monoammonium and diammonium production are also under discussion. OCP will ship two shipments of phosphate fertilizer to the United States in July. According to the current market price in the United States, the FOB price for these diammonium is expected to be approximately US$535 and US$555-560 for monoammonium. Tunisia GCT currently has a diammonium production line in operation and will start the second one next week. The company's diammonium production in the third quarter is mainly for Turkey. Saudi Basic Industries will continue to negotiate the contract with India in the third quarter. However, no progress has been made yet. Maaden will ship a shipment to India in August. MPC has no sales pressure this month. It is reported that JPMC in Jordan has not yet begun to fulfill its shipment contract with Turkey. In addition, shipments to India have limited the company's supply in July.

The United States, India, a large importer of trade volume sold 400,000 tons of diammonium to the Indian market this month, and the United States Tampa Port FOB price of 530 to 570 US dollars. Mono-ammonium has a price advantage in the United States market, and the median FOB price of Tampa Port is 595 US dollars. As a result, the export trade has emerged. Only one deal was reached last week. It was 8000 tons of diammonium exported by trader Yunan Company to China and the United States at an off-shore price of US$555. In general, there were sufficient orders in the United States in July, so the production for sale was limited. In the United States, FOB diammonium barges in New Orleans last week reached US$515-517 per short ton. Order prices in August are also at this level. As the United States is on the National Day, the transaction volume is not great.

The price of mono-ammonium barges is 20 to 25 US dollars higher than that of diammonium. The deal reached last week with the FOB price of New Orleans was between 530 and 535 US dollars. The Russian source of supply is the lowest price. Although no actual transaction has been reached yet, the buyer is currently off-shore. The quote has risen to 537 USD. Nowadays, it is very difficult for the United States market to find a source of ammonium, because Canadian Potash Corp’s plant in Florida is still out of power, and thus no ammonium production was available for sale in September.

There are not many sources in Russia on the U.S. market. On the import side, OCP company shipped two shipments of phosphate fertilizer to the United States in August and used nutrient pricing. The diammonium FOB marketed by Ham to the United States is US$518, and the FOB price is between US$531-535. Overall, the demand for phosphate fertilizer in the United States is expected to pick up in the fall. At present, abnormally hot weather means that farmers will not invest in purchasing fertilizer. Therefore, the current transactions are mainly concentrated among traders.

In the Indian market, traders shipped more shipments to India last week. Private importers imported a total of 450,000 tons of ammonium phosphate in the third quarter, and the CIF price was basically at US$580.

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